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The bitcoin sell-off could get worse before it gets better, according to analysts who look only at price charts. The downtrend intensified on Wednesday when it tumbled under the $60,000 level for the first time since February, as stubborn inflation and uncertainty around Federal Reserve interest rate policy kept markets under pressure. That was a key support level for bitcoin, representing the approximate convergence of the March low and 100-day moving average, according to Ari Wald, an analyst at Oppenheimer. Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg said $60,000 bitcoin looks "vulnerable" and that $50,000 could be in play. Bitcoin traded between $60,000 and $74,000 since mid-March, when the cryptocurrency reached new records and has failed multiple times to break out.
Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, It's, bitcoin, David Keller, Wald, Keller, Geoff Kendrick, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Bitcoin, , Michael Bloom, Rob Ginsberg's Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S
Earnings Exchange: McDonald's, Brinker International, Eli Lilly
  + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings Exchange: McDonald's, Brinker International, Eli LillyAri Wald, Oppenheimer head of technical analysis, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss earnings from McDonald's, Brinker International, and Eli Lilly.
Persons: Eli Lilly Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Eli Lilly Organizations: McDonald's, Brinker International
The stock market is poised for a short-term bounce, but technical analysts who watch price charts warn that the correction is not yet over. The technician said he anticipates support for stocks — the point at which buyers will reemerge — between 4,700-4,800 in the S & P 500. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 To be sure, some observers anticipate a more durable stock market rally, rather than a mere bounce. He anticipates that the S & P 500 could find support down at 4,800 and may not find a true bottom for several weeks. But he anticipates that the selloff will take longer to play out, with a pullback bringing the S & P 500 back to 4,700.
Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, O'Hara, Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, we've, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Wolfe's Rob Ginsberg Organizations: Stocks, Federal Reserve
The e-mini futures contracts tied to the S & P 500 just posted their third negative "outside day" in the past eight sessions. Outside days happen when the range of a security's price sees higher highs and lower lows than it did the day before. The previous day's trading period should be smaller in range and should have closed higher. It also posted negative outside days on April 4 and April 1. Chart analysts are shrugging off the recent trio of outside down days, however, saying they don't threaten the longer-term up trend.
Persons: Tom Fitzpatrick, R.J, O'Brien, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Will Tamplin, Nick Wells
They shared the biggest red flags they see and what candidates should say instead. "Employers and interviewers are specifically trained not to ask questions around candidates' family or financial situation, so it's best not to bring it up," he said. Revealing that you don't have other job options could give potential employers a reason to lower your salary, he said. They'd often ask candidates problem-solving questions with three or four layers. AdvertisementDe Leo said the best candidates don't always give a classroom answer, but they can show their approach to a problem step-by-step.
Persons: , Maya Wald, you've, Wald, Matt Opramolla, Carter De Leo, De Leo, Bonnie Dilber, you'd, Chris Williams, Williams, Nolan, they'd Organizations: Service, Business, Google, Employers, Microsoft
Courtesy of Maya WaldHere are the six most common mistakes I've noticed during interviews, and what you can do to avoid them. As a hiring manager, encountering candidates who haven't taken the time to understand the organization's mission and goals is not only disheartening but painfully obvious. As a hiring manager, I don't need an hourlong explanation of every role and project you've been a part of. As a hiring manager, encountering candidates who have no questions, or only surface-level questions, can signal a lack of genuine interest or preparation. As a hiring manager, I pay close attention to these cues to gauge a candidate's professionalism and demeanor.
Persons: Maya Wald, , I've, Wald, you've, doesn't Organizations: Service
For those assigned female at birth, puberty blockers pause the development of breasts, wider hips or a menstrual period. Here’s what else you should know about puberty blockers and, if you’re a parent, whether they’re something your child needs. “Many kids have already completed puberty by the age of 13 or 14 … so we start blockers when puberty starts,” Forcier said. The one right way to do things is to listen to the patient.”How safe are puberty blockers? Some people worry that children who take puberty blockers may change their minds about their gender identity later in life.
Persons: , Michelle Forcier, it’s, Forcier, ” Forcier, , Melina Wald, Wald, Lauren Wilson, who’s, shouldn’t, Wilson, , ” Wilson, There’s, ” CNN’s Tara John Organizations: CNN, Health Service, Warren Alpert Medical, Brown University, Folx Health, Reuters, Health, Columbia University Medical, American Academy of Pediatrics, Columbia University Locations: Rhode Island, United States, Connecticut, New York, Montana, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Bitcoin's all-time high is in clear sight after the cryptocurrency surpassed $57,000 on Tuesday. The flagship crypto is now roughly 20% off its November 2021 all-time high of $68,982.20, and it just cleared a key resistance level, according to Fairlead Strategies. "The main thing to highlight is the confirmed breakout above $48,000, which targets final resistance [of about] $64,900," said Will Tamplin, senior analyst at Fairlead. BTC.CM= 5D mountain Bitcoin this week confirmed a breakout above $48,000 Oppenheimer chart analyst Ari Wald confirmed that outlook. However, the firm does not expect a major pullback from bitcoin given the breakout and positive momentum in the intermediate term.
Persons: Will Tamplin, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Katie Stockton Organizations: Fairlead, Metrics
Oppenheimer's Ari Wald shares bullish sentiment on Squarespace
  + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOppenheimer's Ari Wald shares bullish sentiment on SquarespaceAri Wald, Oppenheimer managing director and head of technical analysis, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to trade First Solar, Lemonade, and Squarespace.
Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is not in a 'hurry' to cut interest rates, says Oppenheimer's Ari WaldAri Wald, managing director and head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss what the bond market suggests, where S&P is headed, and more.
Persons: Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Ari Wald, Oppenheimer
Several chart analysts are worried stocks are showing signs of exhaustion after their recent rally. Even there, however, we started to see some cracks last week as upside exhaustion also showed itself," Krinsky added. JC O'Hara, chief market technician at Roth MKM, wrote: "This persistence of gains is rare, and we are seeing signs that leadership is feeling exhaustion." However, when we view the chart, we find early signs of bullish exhaustion," O'Hara wrote. "From a trading basis, lethargic internal behavior suggests the bull cycle is due for a breather," Wald wrote on Saturday.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, O'Hara, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, SMH, that's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Russell, Wald Organizations: Reserve, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Bears, Wolfe Research, VanEck Semiconductor
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Oppenheimer's Ari Wald and Wilmington Trust's Meghan ShueAri Wald, managing director and head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, and Meghan Shue, Wilmington Trust head of investment strategy, join 'Money Movers' to discuss if technology stocks reasserting their index leadership is a positive for markets, if the S&P 500 remains undervalued, and more.
Persons: Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wilmington Trust's Meghan Shue Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Meghan Shue Organizations: Wilmington, Wilmington Trust Locations: Wilmington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect a broadening of leadership in equities to cyclical sectors, says Wilmington Trust's ShueAri Wald, managing director and head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, and Meghan Shue, Wilmington Trust head of investment strategy, join 'Money Movers' to discuss if technology stocks reasserting their index leadership is a positive for markets, if the S&P 500 remains undervalued, and more.
Persons: Wilmington Trust's Shue Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Meghan Shue Organizations: Wilmington Trust Locations: Wilmington
The S & P 500 rallied more than 1% on Friday, above both its closing and intraday records that it last reached in January 2022. "Meaning that when a major index like the S & P 500, like the Nasdaq 100, reaches a new all time high, what it does is, it clears the charts of resistance." For 2024, Wald anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at the 5,400 level, representing a roughly 12% rise from Friday's close of 4,839.81. Inflation data, earnings ahead Next week will also bring the Fed's preferred inflation gauge for December, which is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Leading Indicators Tuesday Jan. 23 10 a.m. Richmond Fed Index (January) Earnings: General Electric , Synchrony Financial , D.R.
Persons: it's, Katie Stockton, we've, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Dow Jones, That's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Jan, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Wednesday Jan, Kimberly, Clark, Northrop Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, Morningstar Research Services, Richmond Fed, Synchrony, Raytheon Technologies, Verizon Communications, Halliburton, Johnson, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Wednesday, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Comcast, PCE, Norfolk, American, CNBC Locations: Stockton, U.S, Horton, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas
Some closely watched momentum indicators and a bullish overall chart suggest popular AI chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices is headed for new highs in the near future. The stock hit a new 52-week high and now sits 3.6% below the stock's all-time high of $164.46 set in the fourth quarter of 2021. Many chart analysts expect the stock to blow past that level in the near future. "Anytime a stock makes a new all-time high, it tells me something special is taking place with the company," said JC O'Hara, chief technical strategist at Roth Capital Partners. "Investors should be positioned in these risk stocks that typically outperform in a rising market environment and AMD checks that box," he said.
Persons: Dan Wantrobski, Janney Montgomery Scott, JC O'Hara, Wantrobski, Capital's Todd Gordon, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Organizations: Devices, AMD, Roth Capital Partners, Nasdaq
Many investors and analysts have expressed confidence that bitcoin can reach and even surpass its all-time high level of $69,000. BTC.CM= 1Y line Bitcoin's 1-year performance per Coin Metrics He said $40,000, a level bitcoin hasn't seen since early December, would be another potential stopping point. Julius de Kempenaer, a senior technical analyst at StockCharts.com, is watching a slightly higher support level at $45,000. "While bitcoin's price is coming off a new cycle high, RSI made a lower high and was unable to get above the 70 level," Wald said. Bitcoin reached its all-time high near $69,000 in November 2021.
Persons: bitcoin, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Bitcoin, Julius de Kempenaer, Wald, it's oversold, de Kempenaer, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: U.S, CNBC, Metrics, RSI Locations: Wald
Investors are watching the S & P 500 after it rallied back toward the key 4,600 level to see if it can break out to new all-time highs. A record high in the S & P 500 looks promising after the broader index on Friday closed at 4,594.63, or its best level since March 2022. In July, the last time the S & P 500 tested the threshold, the rally was led by mega-cap tech stocks. On Monday, the market rally took a breather; the S & P 500 ended the session lower by 0.5%, and it stood about 5% below its record. In fact, one market technician on Monday said the S & P 500 could plunge back to its bear market lows in 2024.
Persons: Stocks, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, you've, JPMorgan's, Jason Hunter, Hunter, CNBC's, Adam Turnquist, he's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Lululemon, O'Hara, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Chris Hayes Organizations: Broadcom Locations: oversold
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoyal Caribbean Cruises is the best stock to own in the sector, says Oppenheimer's Ari WaldAri Wald, Oppenheimer, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the technical support for stocks that have doubled this year but still fall below target price.
Persons: Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Ari Wald, Oppenheimer Organizations: Royal Caribbean Cruises
"It's beginning to look a lot like 'VIX-mas,'" Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, wrote in a note Sunday. Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey on Monday wrote that a low VIX is historically a bad sign for markets entering a new year. .VIX 5Y mountain CBOE Market Volatility Index, 5 years "We think 2024 will be a 'trader's market,' not a buy-and-hold situation," Harvey wrote. "But we ultimately think, you know, beyond that, it's poised to go lower just given the low volatility cycle that's been in place." The question is whether we are entering a new period of low volatility as the norm starting in 2024.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG's Krinsky, Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey, Harvey, SPX, Will Tamplin, Tamplin, it's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, " Wald, Krinsky Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Locations: U.S
A recent uptick for a broad-based tech ETF could signal that the market is ready for a rally in software stocks, regardless of size, according to Oppenheimer. Given Oppenheimer's coverage in the former, we think it's important to flag that the equal-weighted S & P Software & Services SPDR (XSW) reclaimed its Q2 breakout above its year-long bottoming pattern. A big rally for the XSW would be a change of pace from the strength of the so-called "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks that have dominated the market in 2023. And the fund's holdings mean that investors won't be adding even more exposure to all of the Magnificent Seven. Though the fund is broad, it does not include all categories of what many investors consider to be tech stocks.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, We're, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: P Software & Services, P Software, Services, Apple, Nvidia, Meta Locations: Technology
I dislike getting involved in debates on the stock market when I am enjoying an old-fashion rum punch at a beach bar in the Caribbean, but I couldn't resist interjecting. "We'll see how the coming slowdown plays out," he said, and turned back to his discussion. The coming slowdown? More may be coming: the last week of November tends to be the strongest week of the month, Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, has noted. As for earnings, which are the lifeblood for the stock market, forward earnings estimates for the next 12 months stand at record highs.
Persons: I's, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fundstrat's Thomas Lee, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Webush's Dan Ives, BMO's Brian Belski, Bespoke's Paul Hickey Organizations: EU, Hamas, Forbes, Bloomberg, Carson Group, LSE Locations: Caribbean, Antigua, British Commonwealth, London, England, American, China, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, U.S
Earnings Exchange: Medtronic, Agilent Technologies & Trip.com
  + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings Exchange: Medtronic, Agilent Technologies & Trip.comAri Wald, managing director and head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss Medtronic, Agilent Technologies, and Trip.com.
Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer Organizations: Agilent Technologies
As President Joe Biden seeks to reassure Muslim American voters amid the Israel-Hamas war, the White House knocked Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for downplaying what he called "so-called Islamophobia" at the GOP presidential debate Wednesday night. "President Biden believes we have an urgent duty to come together as Americans and stand against every form of hate. In the debate, DeSantis and some of the other Republican candidates said the government should focus on combatting anti-semitism, not Islamophobia. Late last month, the White House announced an effort to counter antisemitism on college campuses.
Persons: Joe Biden, Ron DeSantis, Andrew Bates, Biden, DeSantis, " Bates Organizations: Muslim, House, Florida Gov, NBC News, Republican, White House, Republicans Locations: Israel, Arab, Gaza
A risk premium should be present somewhere in oil prices, Papic wrote. "If the Hamas attack leads to a regional conflict in the world's most important oil producing geography, then oil prices should catch a bid… any bid. Beijing's crude oil imports rose in October, but the country's overall exports fell more than expected, indicating the global economy may be slowing. The biggest risk for oil prices is a decline in Iranian oil exports by 300,000 to 500,000 barrels per day, the bank cautioned. The U.S. House of Representatives last week passed a bill to harden sanctions on Tehran's crude exports in an overwhelming bipartisan vote following the Hamas' attacks.
Persons: Netanyahu, Marko Papic, Papic, Oil's, Ellen Wald, Wald, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Giovanni Staunovo, Staunovo, Joe Biden, Mike Rothman, Rothman Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Clocktower, U.S . Energy, UBS, OPEC, U.S . House, Iran's, Bank, World Bank, Gulf Cooperation Council, GCC, Washington, Cornerstone Analytics, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, @CL, Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Iran, Syria, China, U.S, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Strait, Hormuz, Ukraine, Riyadh, India, Japan, South Korea, Republic, Staunovo, Tehran, Gulf States
Tuesday’s legislative elections in Virginia will provide key tests for both parties’ messaging ahead of 2024, as well as the state’s GOP governor. “I think they’re the most important elections in America because these issues that are so important to Virginians are also the ones that are going to be so important to Americans next year,” Virginia GOP Gov. The battles for the state House of Delegates, which Republicans control, and the state Senate, which Democrats control, could come down to a handful of districts. And they’ll test Youngkin’s own political power as he’s brushed off questions about his presidential ambitions. Ambassador Nikki Haley’s paid private speeches, noting that she did not keep records of what she said to the groups.
Persons: , Glenn Youngkin, ABC’s, NBC’s Gary Grumbach, Katherine Koretski, Sen, Siobhan Dunnavant, Democrat Schuyler Van, Youngkin, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, NBC’s Gabe Gutierrez, Julia Jester, Megan Lebowitz, , Biden, Alex Seitz, Wald, Ron DeSantis, , NBC’s Matt Dixon, Jonathan Allen, Ali Vitali, Nikki Haley’s, Peter Nicholas, Carol E, Lee, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott’s, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Brandy Zadrozny, He’s, Peter Meijer, who’s, Brandon Presley, Tate Reeves Organizations: GOP, Virginians, , ” Virginia GOP Gov, Delegates, District, Democrat, NBC News, Democratic, Biden, Israel, Hamas, Democrats, Republican National Committee, New York Times, Florida Republican Party, Florida GOP Gov, Florida GOP, South, Public Service, GOP Gov Locations: Virginia, America, ” Virginia, Democrat Schuyler Van Valkenburg, Youngkin, Michigan, Florida, South Carolina, Black, Michigan’s, Mississippi
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